10/14/09 PA Rasmussen Statewide:

US Senate Race General:
Pat Toomey: 45%
Arlen Specter: 40%

Pat Toomey: 37%
Joe Sestak: 38%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter: 46%-52%
Toomey: 52%-27%
Sestak: 37%-34%

Approve/Disapprove:
Obama: 51%-48%
Rendell: 37%-61%

Gov-run health insurance option:
Favor: 43%
Oppose: 43%

Gov-run health insurance option if it encouraged companies to drop private health insurance coverage for their workers?:
Favor: 23%
Oppose: 63%

Table Games in PA:
Yes: 53%
No: 29%

10/14/09 PA Susquehanna Statewide:

US Senate Race Primary:
Arlen Specter: 44%
Joe Sestak: 16%

US Senate Race General:
Arlen Specter: 42%
Pat Toomey: 41%

Should Specter be re-elected or is it time to give someone else a chance (all):
Be re-elected: 31%
Give someone else a chance: 59%

Should Specter be re-elected or is it time to give someone else a chance (among Dems):
Be re-elected: 44%
Give someone else a chance: 45%

Should Specter be re-elected or is it time to give someone else a chance (among GOP):
Be re-elected: 16%
Give someone else a chance: 75%

PA Gov Race Primary:
Tom Corbett: 36%
Jim Gerlach: 13%
Undecided: 50%

State headed in right or wrong direction:
Right: 22%
Wrong: 68%

10/1/09 PA Quinnipiac Statewide:

US Senate Race Primary Head to Head:
Specter 44%
Sestak 25%

US Senate Race General Head to Head:
Specter 42%
Toomey 43%

Sestak 35%
Toomey 38%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter: 42%-46
Sestak: 21%-8%
Toomey: 34%-12%

Job Approval/Disapproval:
Specter: 44%-48%
Casey: 52%-29%
Obama: 49%-42%

Specter deserves to be reelected?
Yes: 37%
No: 52%

Obama handling of economy Approval/Disapproval:
46%-47%

Obama handling of health care Approval/Disapproval:
39%-53%

Obama’s health care reform plan Support/Oppose
41%-47%

9/3/09 PA Franklin & Marshall Statewide:

Direction of state:
‘On The Wrong track”: 59%
“Headed in the Right Direction”: 33%

Better or worse off compared to year ago:
“Worse off”: 39%
Same: 9%

Job Rating: Excellent/Good/Only fair/Poor
Obama: 14%-33%-29%-24%
Specter: 8%-27%-35%-22%
Rendell: 6%-23%-35%-33%

Favorable/Unfavorable/Undecided/Don’t Know:
Obama: 55%-37%
Specter: 45%-41%
Casey: 41%-18%-17%-24%
Rendell: 32%-53%
Sestak: 13%-4%-10%-73%
Corbett: 23%-4%-16%-57%
Gerlach: 8%-5%-11%-76%
Toomey: 18%-10%-9%-63%

Specter re-election:
June: Deserves re-election: 34% Time for a change: 54%

US Senate Primary Head to Head:
Specter: 37%
Sestak: 11%

US Senate General Head to Head:
Specter: 37%
Toomey: 29%

Sestak: 22%
Toomey: 26%

PA Gov Primary Head to Head:
Corbett: 15%
Gerlach: 6%

Support or Oppose Health Care Proposals:
Support: 34%
Oppose: 51%

State Legislature’s job:
Excellent: 0%
Good: 18%
Only Fair: 58%
Poor: 20%

Quality of government in Pennsylvania:
Excellent: 1%
Good: 26%
Only Fair: 54%
Poor: 18%

Who’s most responsible for budget being late?:
Governor: 31%
State legislature: 53%

Who do you trust more?:
Governor: 36%
State legislature: 48%

8/14/09 PA DailyKos/Research 2000 Statewide:

US Senate General Head to Head:
Toomey 40% Specter 45%
Toomey 41% Sestak 42%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter: 52%-40%
Sestak: 37%-19%
Toomey: 37%-34%
Rendell: 48%-41%
Casey: 56%-29%
Obama: 55%-40%

8/13/09 PA Rasmussen Statewide:

US Senate General Head to Head:
Toomey 48% Specter 36%
Toomey 43% Sestak 35%

Job Approval/Disapproval:
Obama: 51%-47%
Rendell: 39%-50%

Rendell’s handling of state budget crisis:
Excellent: 4%
Good: 17%
Fair: 27%
Poor: 48%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter: 43%-54%
Toomey: 54%-26%
Sestak: 40%-36%

7/22/09 PA Quinnipiac Statewide:

US Senate General Head to Head:
Specter 45% Toomey 44%
Toomey 39% Sestak 35%
Specter 47% Luksik 40%
Sestak 39% Luksik 30%

US Senate Primary Head to Head:
Specter 55% Sestak 23%
Toomey 47% Luksik 6%

Specter deserves reelection:
Yes: 40%
No: 49%

Approval/Disapproval/Don’t know:
Obama: 56%-37%
Specter: 47%-46%
Casey 53%-25%-21%

Favorable/Unfavorable/Don’t Know:
Specter: 45%-44%
Toomey: 34%-10%-56%
Sestak: 23%-7%-69%
Luksik: 13%-5%-82%

Too liberal/too conservative/about right/don’t know:
Specter: 31%-8%-46%-16%
Toomey: 4%-10%-38%-48%

6/18/09 PA Rasmussen Statewide:

US Senate General Head to Head:
Specter 50% Toomey 39%
Sestak 41% Toomey 35%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter 53%-43%
Toomey 50%-35%
Sestak 42%-32%

Approval/Disapproval:
Rendell: 53%-46%
Obama: 60%-39%

6/1/09 PA Susquehanna Statewide:

Pennsylvania’s direction:
Right direction 37%
Wrong track 47%

Dem Primary Voters on Specter:
Specter should be nominee: 28%
Specter should face challenge: 63%

Gov General Head To Head:
Corbett: 34%
Onorato: 29%
Undecided: 32%

Pittsburgh media market breakdown:
Corbett: 29%
Onorato: 51%

US Senate General Head To Head:
Specter: 46%
Toomey: 37%

5/28/09 PA Quinnipiac Statewide:

US Senate General Head to Head:
Specter 46%-Toomey 37%
Specter 50%-Sestak 21%

Favorable/Unfavorable/Unknown:
Specter: 46%-39%
Toomey:  27%-11%-61%

Specter Ideology:
‘too liberal’ 30%
‘too conservative’ 9%
‘about right’ 45%

Toomey Ideology:
‘too conservative’ 15%
‘too liberal’ 4%
‘about right’ 32%

Specter Deserves Reelection:
Yes 42% No 43%

Other Approval/Disapproval:
Obama: 62% – 31%
Rendell: 54%-37%
Casey: 56% – 21%

5/6/09 PA Daily Kos/Research 2000 Statewide:

Favorable/Unfavorable/No opinion:
Specter 54%-36%-10%
Sestak 29%-15%-56%
Torsella 11%-5%-84%
Toomey 33%-44%-23%
Ridge 55%-24%-21%
Obama 65%-28%-7%

Specter reelection support among Democrats:
Definite Specter: 37%
Consider someone else: 23%
Definitely someone else: 16%
Not sure: 24%

US Senate Primary Head to head:
Toomey (R) 41%
Ridge (R) 33%

Specter (D) 56%
Sestak (D) 11%
Undecided 33%

Specter (D) 60%
Torsella (D) 5%
Undecided 35%

US Senate General Head to head:
Specter (D) 55%
Toomey (R) 31%

Sestak (D) 37%
Toomey (R) 32%

Torsella (D) 35%
Toomey (R) 33%

5/5/09 PA Asher-Commissioned Statewide:

US Senate Primary Head to Head:
Ridge 60%
Toomey 23%

US Senate General Head to Head:
Ridge 48%
Specter 41%

4/11/09 PA Lincoln Institue Businesses Leaders:

Company Sales in last 6 months:
Increased 13.3%
Same 24.3%
Decreased 61.5%

Positives/Negatives of official:
Barack Obama: 26.4%-63.4%
Arlen Specter: 24.4%-60.0%
Robert P. Casey: 13.8%-54.2%
Ed Rendell: 13.8%-75.1%
Attorney General Tom Corbett: 37.9%-12.9%
Auditor General Jack Wagner: 13.8%-13.3%

Positives/Negatives of govt:
US Senate: 9.7%-80.1%
US House: 6.6%-82.7%
PA Senate: 17.7%-57.1%
PA House: 12.0%-62.7%

Favor or oppose ‘Card Check’:
Favor: 3.2%
Oppose: 89.5% (80.8% Strongly)

Position on Auto Bailout:
Favor: 11.4%
Oppose: 86.3% (58% strongly)

Raise taxes or cut spending to close state budget deficit?
Raise Taxes 0.5%
Cut Spending 81.7%
Combination of two 16.1%

Gov Primary Head to Head (R):
Tom Corbett 72.2%
Pat Meehan 10.2%
Jim Gerlach 17.6%

US Senate Primary Head to Head (R):
Arlen Specter 15.3%
Pat Toomey 63.7%
Peg Luksik 4.5%

(Lincoln Institute Analysis on this survey)