10/14/09 PA Rasmussen Statewide:

US Senate Race General:
Pat Toomey: 45%
Arlen Specter: 40%

Pat Toomey: 37%
Joe Sestak: 38%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter: 46%-52%
Toomey: 52%-27%
Sestak: 37%-34%

Approve/Disapprove:
Obama: 51%-48%
Rendell: 37%-61%

Gov-run health insurance option:
Favor: 43%
Oppose: 43%

Gov-run health insurance option if it encouraged companies to drop private health insurance coverage for their workers?:
Favor: 23%
Oppose: 63%

Table Games in PA:
Yes: 53%
No: 29%

9/30/09 PA Quinnipiac Statewide:

US Gov Primary Head to Head:
Onorato 14%
Wagner 11%
Knox 5%
Hoeffel 12%
Doherty 8%

Corbett 42%
Gerlach 13%

US Gov General Head to Head:
Corbett 47%
Onorato 28%

Corbett 44%
Wagner 29%

Approval/Disapproval:
Rendell: 42% 51%
State Legislature: 27%-64%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Gerlach: 13%-6%
Corbett: 43%-7%
Onorato: 17%-11%
Wagner: 22%-6%
Knox: 10%-4%
Doherty: 10%-4%
Hoeffel: 13%-7%

9/3/09 PA Franklin & Marshall Statewide:

Direction of state:
‘On The Wrong track”: 59%
“Headed in the Right Direction”: 33%

Better or worse off compared to year ago:
“Worse off”: 39%
Same: 9%

Job Rating: Excellent/Good/Only fair/Poor
Obama: 14%-33%-29%-24%
Specter: 8%-27%-35%-22%
Rendell: 6%-23%-35%-33%

Favorable/Unfavorable/Undecided/Don’t Know:
Obama: 55%-37%
Specter: 45%-41%
Casey: 41%-18%-17%-24%
Rendell: 32%-53%
Sestak: 13%-4%-10%-73%
Corbett: 23%-4%-16%-57%
Gerlach: 8%-5%-11%-76%
Toomey: 18%-10%-9%-63%

Specter re-election:
June: Deserves re-election: 34% Time for a change: 54%

US Senate Primary Head to Head:
Specter: 37%
Sestak: 11%

US Senate General Head to Head:
Specter: 37%
Toomey: 29%

Sestak: 22%
Toomey: 26%

PA Gov Primary Head to Head:
Corbett: 15%
Gerlach: 6%

Support or Oppose Health Care Proposals:
Support: 34%
Oppose: 51%

State Legislature’s job:
Excellent: 0%
Good: 18%
Only Fair: 58%
Poor: 20%

Quality of government in Pennsylvania:
Excellent: 1%
Good: 26%
Only Fair: 54%
Poor: 18%

Who’s most responsible for budget being late?:
Governor: 31%
State legislature: 53%

Who do you trust more?:
Governor: 36%
State legislature: 48%

8/13/09 PA Rasmussen Statewide:

US Senate General Head to Head:
Toomey 48% Specter 36%
Toomey 43% Sestak 35%

Job Approval/Disapproval:
Obama: 51%-47%
Rendell: 39%-50%

Rendell’s handling of state budget crisis:
Excellent: 4%
Good: 17%
Fair: 27%
Poor: 48%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Specter: 43%-54%
Toomey: 54%-26%
Sestak: 40%-36%

7/21/09 PA Quinnipiac Statewide:

US Gov Race Primary Head to Head:
Onorato 16% Wagner 16% Knox 13%
Corbett 38% Gerlach 15% Meehan 9%

Favorable/Unfavorable:
Onorato: 16%-6%
Wagner: 18%-4%
Knox: 10%-4%
Corbett: 38%-6%
Gerlach: 16%-6%
Meehan: 12%-3%

Approve/Disapprove of job handling:
Rendell: 39%-53%
State Legislature: 27%-57%
Corbett: 55%-8%

Blame for failure to pass budget:
Rendell: 30%
Reps in Legislature: 17%
Dems in Legislature: 11%

Raise taxes or cut services to balance budget:
Raise taxes: 35%
Cut services: 55%

Rendell’s personal income tax hike 3.07% to 3.57%:
Support: 33%
Oppose: 63%

7/7/09 PA Franklin & Marshall Statewide (originally released in June):

Amend Constitution to allow gay marriage:
Favor: 42%
Oppose: 52%

Amend to define marriage as only between a man & a woman:
Favor: 48%
Oppose: 46%

Civil Unions:
Yes: 58%
No: 37%

NOTE: Separated these finding from the original June Franklin & Marshall results because of these additional breakdowns by region, date & age which Madonna & Yost later provided.

6/24/09 PA Franklin & Marshall Statewide:

Direction of state:
‘On The Wrong track” 48%
“Headed in the Right Direction” 44%

Better or worse off compared to year ago:
“Worse off” 43%
Same: 45%

Job Rating: Excellent/Good/Only fair/Poor
Obama: 20%-35%-25%-19%
Specter: 10%-24%-37%-18%
Rendell: 10%-28%-34%-25%

Specter Approval Rating (March vs. June):
March: 52% June: 34%

Favorable/Unfavorable/Undecided/Don’t Know:
Obama: 56%-27%
Specter: 31%-37%
Casey: 32%-17%-17%-34%
Rendell: 42%-40%

Specter re-election (March vs. June):
March: Deserves re-election: 40% Time for a change: 46%
June: Deserves re-election: 28% Time for a change: 57%

US Senate Primary Head to Head:
Specter: 33%
Sestak: 13%
Don’t Know: 48%

State Legislature’s job:
Excellent: 1%
Good: 26%
Only Fair: 49%
Poor: 18%

Quality of government in Pennsylvania:
Excellent: 3%
Good: 29%
Only Fair: 48%
Poor: 18%

How to deal with state budget deficit?:
Increase taxes: 29%
Cut state programs and services: 44%
Neither: 20%

6/1/09 PA Susquehanna Statewide:

Pennsylvania’s direction:
Right direction 37%
Wrong track 47%

Dem Primary Voters on Specter:
Specter should be nominee: 28%
Specter should face challenge: 63%

Gov General Head To Head:
Corbett: 34%
Onorato: 29%
Undecided: 32%

Pittsburgh media market breakdown:
Corbett: 29%
Onorato: 51%

US Senate General Head To Head:
Specter: 46%
Toomey: 37%

5/30/09 PA Susquehanna Businesses:

PA on right track or wrong track to make state more competitive for business community?
Right track 36%
Wrong track 40%
Undecided 24%

Quality of PA workforce:
Excellent 12%
Good: 62%
Poor: 34%

Quality of PA workforce in recent years:
Gotten Better 14%
Gotten Worse 33%
Stayed same 50%

High school diploma a good indicator of candidate’s competency, basic skills and knowledge?
Yes 52%
No 41%

State graduation exams legislation:
Support: 80%
Oppose: 12%

Impact of new statewide requirements, including exam:
Major impact: 27%
Moderate impact: 54%
No impact: 14%

4/11/09 PA Lincoln Institue Businesses Leaders:

Company Sales in last 6 months:
Increased 13.3%
Same 24.3%
Decreased 61.5%

Positives/Negatives of official:
Barack Obama: 26.4%-63.4%
Arlen Specter: 24.4%-60.0%
Robert P. Casey: 13.8%-54.2%
Ed Rendell: 13.8%-75.1%
Attorney General Tom Corbett: 37.9%-12.9%
Auditor General Jack Wagner: 13.8%-13.3%

Positives/Negatives of govt:
US Senate: 9.7%-80.1%
US House: 6.6%-82.7%
PA Senate: 17.7%-57.1%
PA House: 12.0%-62.7%

Favor or oppose ‘Card Check’:
Favor: 3.2%
Oppose: 89.5% (80.8% Strongly)

Position on Auto Bailout:
Favor: 11.4%
Oppose: 86.3% (58% strongly)

Raise taxes or cut spending to close state budget deficit?
Raise Taxes 0.5%
Cut Spending 81.7%
Combination of two 16.1%

Gov Primary Head to Head (R):
Tom Corbett 72.2%
Pat Meehan 10.2%
Jim Gerlach 17.6%

US Senate Primary Head to Head (R):
Arlen Specter 15.3%
Pat Toomey 63.7%
Peg Luksik 4.5%

(Lincoln Institute Analysis on this survey)